2015 All-Star Game-Eastern Conference bench list prediction

2015All-StarGame-EasternConferencebenchlistprediction
TheNBAofficialannouncedthestartinglistofthe2015All-StarGamelastweek,andasubstitutewillbereleasedthisweekend.These14peoplewerevotedbytheheadcoachesofeachteam,whichismorefocusedontheperformancethanthepopularity.Wemightaswellsortoutthisintwocolumns.Today’sprotagonististheEasternPart.  ThefivestartingtigersselectedbyfansareLowry,Wall,James,AnthonyandGasol.These5peoplearenotonlypopular,butalsohaveremarkableperformances-inESPN’svictorycontributionlist,theyarerankedinthetop9intheEasternConference.Amongthem,LowryandWallarethebestpointguardsintheEasternConference.Evenifthelowtideisencountered,Zhanguaisbetterthanmostpeople.DajiahasmadenewbranchesafterswitchingtotheBulls.替补照例按照两名后场、3名前场和两张外卡的方式列出:东区全明星替补预测后场:杰夫-蒂格  洛瑞和沃尔是无可争议的东区头两名控卫(Innoparticularorder),asforwhoisthethirdbest,manypeoplemaybeinclinedtostartIrvinglastyear.Butinfact,whetheritisefficiencyorrecord,Teagueisbetter.Heaveraged17.2points7.5assists,thisisstilljust31.Completedwithin4minutes.Don’tlookatTeague’sthree-pointerisnottooaccurate(34.1%),histrueshootingpercentageranksamongthetop3intheEasternPointGuards,whilethetoptwoPriggioniandAndreMillerhavemuchlesspossession.TeaguerankedseventhintheEasternConferenceguardsinroundpossession,andhisassistratewasalsointhetop10.  Comparedtolastseason,Teague’sbasketshotpercentage,fieldgoalpercentageandfreethrowpercentagehaveincreasedtovaryingdegrees,whichisnotonlyduetoitsrapidspeed,butalsorelatedtotheEagles’emphasisonspace.BothMillsapandHorfordareexcellentpick-and-rollinsiders.Withthempullingoutandshootinglongdistances,Teaguecansteponthehotwheelsashepleases.HehastoppedallplayersintheEasternConferencewith460breakssofarthisseason.Inaddition,Teague’sdefenseisnotinferior.Hishandsareusedveryquickly.Afterthecorrection,thedefensivepositiveandnegativevaluesarefourthintheeasternpointguard.ItisoneoftheguaranteesoftheHawks’superhighmistakes.Backcourt:JimmyButler  Thisshouldbetheleasttroublesomeoption.ButleristheNo.1modelintheNBA.HeonlymissedthreegamesfortheBulls,averaging39.Rankedfirstintheleaguein4minutes.Asaresult,Butleronlyreached117indistance.5kilometers,morethan10kilometersmorethanthethirdMatthewsintheleague.Butlerisn’tactuallyanextremelyproductivescorer.Hisroundshareisslightlyhigherthantheleagueaverage,buthecan’tstandfullloadattendanceandexcellenttrueshootingpercentage(3rdintheEasternConferenceshootingguard),andtheaverageoutputisstillashighas20.5points.  Butlerdoesnothaveenoughoffensiveskillstobecalledasignboard,buthebreaksthrough,draws,fixes,cuts,lowpositions,fastbreaksandno-ballscreens,andthereforehasthesecond-lowestturnoverrateintheEasternDivision.Itisatypethatisverygoodatsewingneedlestokeepopponentsoutofdefense.Butler’sfreethrowsper36minutesfrom4.7timesto6.8times,themiddledistancehasalsoimprovedaccordingly,evenifthethreepointsarestillaverage(34.6%)isenough.HisreboundrateisalsoseventhintheEasternDivisionguards,andhehasnotlosthistoughdefenseasahousekeepingskillwhenhedebuted.ThisisthemostversatileshootingguardintheEasternConference.Frontcourt:PaulMillsapisthemostpowerfulteamintheEasternConference,anditshouldbepossibleforatleasttwoplayerstoparticipateintheAll-Stargame.BullcoachThibodeauevenexaggeratedthattheHawksshouldmovetheentirestartinglineuptoNewYorkforperformances.Atthemoment,althoughESPNpublishedalongarticletosupportKorver’sselection,thesupershooter’sturnshareistoolow,andtheweaknessofthemainattackabilitydoesnotseemtomeettheAll-Starqualities.AlthoughMillsap’sdefensivecontributionandefficiencyareslightlylowerthanHorford,afterall,heplayedmorethan150minutes,andthequantitativeadvantageisenoughtomakeupforthelackofquality.  Millsap’sperformancewasalmostthesameaswhenhemadehisAll-Stardebutlastseason.Healsoimprovedhisefficiencyafteraslightdecreaseinpossession.Millsapisarealdislocationweapon,hehasfullyadaptedtothethree-pointrange,iftheopponentistooclose,hecanbreakthrough.Iftheopponentwillmarkwithafasterforward,hewillchoosetobeattheopponentinthelowpost.Millsap’struefieldgoalpercentageandassistratearebothseventhintheEasternConferencepowerforwards.Thelackofheightleadstomediocrerebounds,sointhesamepositionitisslightlyinferiortoGasol.Frontcourt:AndreDrummondPistonsrushedoutatthemostappropriatetime,anditwasnotsurprisingthatsomeonewasselectedasanAll-Star.Itisstillopentoquestionwhotheoriginalcandidateis-ZhuangShen’sperformanceismorestable,andJenningsismoreexplosive.ButnowthatJenningsisreimbursedfortheseason,Drummond’slistshouldbelogical.Heaveraged12inlessthan30minutespergame.5points13.0rebounds,ofwhichtheoffensivereboundraterankssecondintheleague,andthedefensivereboundrateranksthird.ZhuangShen’sshootingratefluctuatedgreatlyatthebeginningoftheseason,buthasgraduallyrecoveredasthescheduleprogressed(DecemberisstrongerthanJanuary).  EspeciallyafterJoshSmithleft,Dafanwasabletousethebigfourteammoreoften,andusedDrummondandMonroeseparately.WhentheoutsidelineisfullofshootersandthepowerforwardisdirectedbyJerebkoorTolliver,ZhuangShenwithnorangecanalsobereleasedmore.Hisprotectionofthebaskethasalsoimprovedsignificantly,andhisopponent’sshootingpercentagewithin5feetwas53.1%,thisyearhasincreasedto48.4%.Drummond’sweaknessesarestilllackoflowfootwork,unbalancedleftandrighthands,andpoorfreethrows.IntheWesternConference,heshouldnotbeanAll-Star.Frontcourt:NikolaiVuchevich  Youmusthavedoubtswhenyouseethis:TheMagic’srecordisinthebottomthirdintheEasternConference.WhydidVucevicgetselected?Thereareseveralconsiderationshere.Thefirstisthattheremustbe3playersinthefrontcourt.IfButlerisnotcountedasasmallforward,thethirdpositionisboundtobecontroversial.Vucevic’scompetitorsincludeHorford,Bosh,Love,etc.,buttheselatterplayershavecommonproblems-theyarenotstrictlymastersoftheirrespectiveteams.SoistheHawksplayingteambasketballsogoodthat3playersareselectedfortheAll-Stargame?WhoisbetteratBoshlovthanWadeIrving?  AndVucevichashisownadvantages.HeisdefinitelyoneofthemostbeautifulstatsintheEasternConferencesofar,averaging19.4points11.Attendanceatthreereboundswasexceptionallystable.Vuceviccanpulloutapick-and-rollshotwhenheretreats,andbothhandscanshootinthelowpost.Hisoffensiveperformanceisbasicallythesameastheother(thepassisslightlyweakerandthehitrateishigher),anddon’tforgetthattheMagic’spassingresourcesaremuchworsethantheBulls.SinceIrvingin2013canbeselectedasanAll-Starasasubstitute(whentheCavaliershadaworserecord),Vucevicshouldalsohavehope.Wildcard:DwyaneWade  isstillasmentionedabove,theHeatwithlesswinsandlossesshouldnothavetwoAll-Stars.Moreover,WadeandBosheachmissedacertainnumberofgames,andtheywereselectedbecausetheyweremorefamous.Itwasnotfairtootherplayerswhoworkedequallyhard.Ifonlyonepersonischosen,WadeandBoshshouldhavetheirownadvantagesanddisadvantages.Wade’sefficiencyishigher,andthenumberofappearancesandaveragetimepergameareslightlyinferior.ButBoshsufferedalossinexpectations-herenewedhiscontractwithatopsalary,anditisnobetterthanWadewhorenewedhissalary.Evenifhemoreoftenbearstheresponsibilityoftheball,itisstilleasytofluctuate.  AsWade’sonlyoutsidemainattackpointafterJameslefttheteam,atthisstageofhiscareer,heactuallyimprovedtheroundsharetothethirdplaceintheleague.Althoughhepaidthepriceofquasi-minimumdeclineandincreasedturnovers,histrueshootingpercentageisstillhigherthanthatofWeiShaoandKobe,whohavemoreballpower,andnotlowerthantheleagueaverage.Wadenolongerhasthelightningspeedandexplosivepoweratthepeak,completelyrelyingontechnologyandconsciousnesstocompletetheaverage21.6pointsoutput.Inaddition,hewastheseconddefenderoftheEasternConferenceinthepreviousroundsoftheAll-Starvote.HewasnotovertakenbyLowryuntilthelastminute,indicatingthattherearestillmanyfanswhowanthimtoplayinNewYork.Wildcard:KyrieIrvingisanothercontroversialcard!Question1isthattheCavaliersareonlyfifthintheEasternConferenceandaretheyeligibletobeselectedtoreplacetheAll-Star.Butundernormalcircumstances,theEaglesandBullsshouldalsobeselected,andtheWizardsRaptorsdidfindasuitablesecond.Question2ishowmuchadvantageIrvinghaswithreferencetootherEasternConferencesecond-linepointguards(outsideLoriWaltig).Jenningswillnotmentionit.BrandonKnightandKembaWalker(thelatestnewsisthatthesurgerymayalsobelong-termabsence)alsohavebrilliantperformances,andaretheleadersoftheirrespectiveteams,theBucks.TheHornetsarecurrentlyamongthetop8intheEasternDistrict.  What’smoreinterestingatthemomentisthatnoneofthemaregoodatpassing,andtheirassistratesarerankedfourth,fifthandseventhintheEasternConferencepointguard.Ifcomparingotheraspects,Irvingisdefinitelythemostbalanced.HeandWalkerarebothgoodatcontrollingmistakes,butthetruehitrateishigher;heandKnight’sabilitytoseizetheopportunityisbetweenBozhong,butobviouslytowastemistakes.AndthedefenseofthesetwomenisnotgoodenoughtokillIrvinginseconds.Inaddition,IrvingwastheMVPofthelastAll-StarGame.Thereisnoproblemintermsofviewing.ItisverysuitableforperforminginNewYorknextmonth.  Concludingremarks:Theabovesevenpeoplehaveallbeenrankedinthetop15intheEasternConferenceintermsofvictorycontribution.Ifanyoneloses,theyaremostlikelytofindfromtheotherthreepeople,namelyBosh,HorfordandWalker.Inthenewseason,especiallyinthelastmonth,theEasternConferenceteamhasbecomemorecompetitivethanbefore,butthesituationofweakEastandWeststrongcannotbechangedintheshortterm.Thisimbalancedeterminesthatyouwillinevitablyseesomeplayersclosertothequasi-All-Staronthebenchlist,anditwillinevitablyhaveasenseofwhyhecanplay.Twodayslater,wewilltalkabouttheattributionofthebenchintheWesternDistrictinthecolumn,andthenthetopicwillhavetobechangedtowhyhehasnotbeenonit.(ZhangWenjing)